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Projection for New Zealand 5 weeks before the general election

On Saturday, 7 November 2026, New Zealand will elect a new House of Representatives. This is our first projection for the election, based on the poll.graphics election trend of 1 October and the 2023 results, transferred onto the new electorate boundaries that apply for the first time this year. The poll.graphics election trend is not…

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Analysis of the poll.graphics nowcast compared to the results of the European elections 2024 in Germany shows match-up of 94.5%

Prior to the European elections, we had created a nowcast projection for the 400 counties and independent cities in Germany with survey values ​​of 5 June 2024 (map below left). As strongest party, the projection saw the CDU / CSU ahead in 314, Bündnis 90 / Die Grünen in 14, the SPD in 10 and…

Continue reading Analysis of the poll.graphics nowcast compared to the results of the European elections 2024 in Germany shows match-up of 94.5%