Bavaria State Parliament
Bavaria · State Parliament
State Parliament of Bavaria: seat projection
Bavaria State Parliament 2028 election — expected 8 October 2028, 180 seats in the nowcast, 91 constituencies.
Candidates 2023: 1262 people from 8 parties
As of: October 2026. Daily nowcast with margin and probability for every constituency with access.
Full nowcast
Everything above, plus:
- Updated daily · the nowcast recalculated every day from the latest polls
- Numbers per region · vote share and seats in all 91 regions
- Poll timeline · every poll since the 2023 election
- Candidate projections · who takes each seat, by list place
Unlock all 91 constituencies
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All constituencies in Bavaria
Find detailed election results and analyses for all 91 constituencies in Bavaria.
91 constituencies available
| Constituency | Leading today | 2023 winner | Changed since 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 München-Hadern | CSU | CSU (32.4%) | |
| 02 München-Bogenhausen | CSU | CSU (32.9%) | |
| 03 München-Giesing | Greens | Greens (32.6%) | |
| 04 München-Milbertshofen | Greens | Greens (35.3%) | |
| 05 München-Moosach | CSU | CSU (32.0%) | |
| 06 München-Pasing | CSU | CSU (33.9%) | |
| 07 München-Ramersdorf | CSU | CSU (34.8%) | |
| 08 München-Schwabing | Greens | Greens (34.4%) | |
| 09 München-Mitte | Greens | Greens (44.6%) | |
| 10 Altötting | CSU | CSU (41.2%) | |
| 11 Bad Tölz-Wolfratshausen, Garmisch-Partenkirchen | CSU | CSU (36.6%) | |
| 12 Berchtesgadener Land | CSU | CSU (37.6%) | |
| 13 Dachau | CSU | CSU (35.5%) | |
| 14 Ebersberg | CSU | CSU (38.3%) | |
| 15 Eichstätt | CSU | CSU (41.1%) | |
| 16 Erding | CSU | CSU (39.5%) | |
| 17 Freising | CSU | CSU (31.3%) | |
| 18 Fürstenfeldbruck-Ost | CSU | CSU (35.5%) | |
| 19 Ingolstadt | CSU | CSU (35.6%) | |
| 20 Landsberg am Lech, Fürstenfeldbruck-West | CSU | CSU (35.8%) | |
| 21 Miesbach | CSU | CSU (42.6%) | |
| 22 Mühldorf a.Inn | CSU | CSU (34.5%) | |
| 23 München-Land-Nord | CSU | CSU (38.1%) | |
| 24 München-Land-Süd | CSU | CSU (38.1%) | |
| 25 Neuburg-Schrobenhausen | CSU | Free Voters (31.6%) | changed |
| 26 Pfaffenhofen a.d.Ilm | CSU | CSU (33.0%) | |
| 27 Rosenheim-Ost | CSU | CSU (34.0%) | |
| 28 Rosenheim-West | CSU | CSU (33.0%) | |
| 29 Starnberg | CSU | CSU (35.0%) | |
| 30 Traunstein | CSU | CSU (34.3%) | |
| 31 Weilheim-Schongau | CSU | CSU (33.5%) | |
| 32 Deggendorf | CSU | CSU (42.8%) | |
| 33 Dingolfing | CSU | CSU (34.8%) | |
| 34 Kelheim | CSU | CSU (36.9%) | |
| 35 Landshut | CSU | Free Voters (37.2%) | changed |
| 36 Passau-Ost | CSU | CSU (32.8%) | |
| 37 Passau-West | CSU | CSU (34.8%) | |
| 38 Regen, Freyung-Grafenau | CSU | CSU (34.2%) | |
| 39 Rottal-Inn | CSU | CSU (36.1%) | |
| 40 Straubing | CSU | CSU (42.9%) | |
| 41 Amberg-Sulzbach | CSU | CSU (37.8%) | |
| 42 Cham | CSU | CSU (39.4%) | |
| 43 Neumarkt i.d.OPf. | CSU | CSU (51.3%) | |
| 44 Regensburg-Land | CSU | CSU (35.4%) | |
| 45 Regensburg-Stadt | CSU | CSU (30.2%) | |
| 46 Schwandorf | CSU | CSU (35.5%) | |
| 47 Tirschenreuth | CSU | CSU (43.8%) | |
| 48 Weiden i.d.OPf. | CSU | CSU (41.4%) | |
| 49 Bamberg-Land | CSU | CSU (46.9%) | |
| 50 Bamberg-Stadt | CSU | CSU (36.5%) | |
| 51 Bayreuth | CSU | CSU (33.9%) | |
| 52 Coburg | CSU | CSU (42.1%) | |
| 53 Forchheim | CSU | CSU (33.7%) | |
| 54 Hof | CSU | CSU (49.6%) | |
| 55 Kronach, Lichtenfels | CSU | CSU (41.5%) | |
| 56 Wunsiedel, Kulmbach | CSU | CSU (39.2%) | |
| 57 Nürnberg-Nord | CSU | CSU (31.4%) | |
| 58 Nürnberg-Ost | CSU | CSU (41.5%) | |
| 59 Nürnberg-Süd | CSU | CSU (40.8%) | |
| 60 Nürnberg-West | CSU | CSU (36.1%) | |
| 61 Ansbach-Nord | CSU | CSU (38.6%) | |
| 62 Ansbach-Süd, Weißenburg-Gunzenhausen | CSU | CSU (39.0%) | |
| 63 Erlangen-Höchstadt | CSU | CSU (38.5%) | |
| 64 Erlangen-Stadt | CSU | CSU (36.6%) | |
| 65 Fürth | CSU | CSU (34.6%) | |
| 66 Neustadt a.d.Aisch-Bad Windsheim, Fürth-Land | CSU | CSU (38.3%) | |
| 67 Nürnberger Land | CSU | CSU (39.4%) | |
| 68 Roth | CSU | CSU (38.4%) | |
| 69 Aschaffenburg-Ost | CSU | CSU (46.0%) | |
| 70 Aschaffenburg-West | CSU | CSU (38.6%) | |
| 71 Bad Kissingen | CSU | CSU (51.1%) | |
| 72 Haßberge, Rhön-Grabfeld | CSU | CSU (46.6%) | |
| 73 Kitzingen | CSU | CSU (43.2%) | |
| 74 Main-Spessart | CSU | CSU (42.3%) | |
| 75 Miltenberg | CSU | CSU (41.7%) | |
| 76 Schweinfurt | CSU | CSU (38.5%) | |
| 77 Würzburg-Land | CSU | CSU (42.4%) | |
| 78 Würzburg-Stadt | CSU | CSU (33.0%) | |
| 79 Augsburg-Stadt-Ost | CSU | CSU (31.5%) | |
| 80 Augsburg-Stadt-West | CSU | CSU (31.3%) | |
| 81 Aichach-Friedberg | CSU | CSU (37.3%) | |
| 82 Augsburg-Land, Dillingen | CSU | CSU (35.3%) | |
| 83 Augsburg-Land-Süd | CSU | CSU (39.9%) | |
| 84 Donau-Ries | CSU | CSU (41.4%) | |
| 85 Günzburg | CSU | CSU (35.6%) | |
| 86 Kaufbeuren | CSU | CSU (33.9%) | |
| 87 Kempten, Oberallgäu | CSU | CSU (34.1%) | |
| 88 Lindau, Sonthofen | CSU | CSU (36.5%) | |
| 89 Marktoberdorf | CSU | CSU (39.9%) | |
| 90 Memmingen | CSU | CSU (38.9%) | |
| 91 Neu-Ulm | CSU | CSU (43.7%) |
Original source of the vector file:
Returning Officer of the Free State of Bavaria