Bundestag

German Bundestag

Germany · Bundestag

Bundestag: seat projection

Nowcast of , updated at least monthlyElection · in 1066 days

Bundestag 2029 election — 28 September 2029, 630 seats in the nowcast, 299 constituencies.

Candidates 2025: 2891 people from 9 parties

As of: October 2026. Daily nowcast with margin and probability for every constituency with access.

Full nowcast

Everything above, plus:

  • Updated daily · the nowcast recalculated every day from the latest polls
  • Numbers per region · vote share and seats in all 299 regions
  • Poll timeline · every poll since the 2025 election
  • Candidate projections · who takes each seat, by list place

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All Bundestag constituencies

Find detailed election results and analyses for all 299 Bundestag constituencies in Germany.

299 constituencies available

Who leads today, who won in 2025
Constituency Leading today 2025 winner Changed since 2025
01 Flensburg – Schleswig Greens CDU/CSU (26.6%) changed
02 Nordfriesland – Dithmarschen Nord CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (32.7%)
03 Steinburg – Dithmarschen Süd AfD CDU/CSU (35.0%) changed
04 Rendsburg-Eckernförde CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (32.8%)
05 Kiel Greens Greens (26.1%)
06 Plön – Neumünster AfD CDU/CSU (32.7%) changed
07 Pinneberg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (31.8%)
08 Segeberg – Stormarn-Mitte AfD CDU/CSU (32.3%) changed
09 Ostholstein – Stormarn-Nord CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (34.8%)
10 Herzogtum Lauenburg – Stormarn-Süd AfD CDU/CSU (32.7%) changed
11 Lübeck Greens SPD (28.1%) changed
12 Schwerin – Ludwigslust-Parchim I – Nordwestmecklenburg I AfD AfD (35.9%)
13 Ludwigslust-Parchim II – Nordwestmecklenburg II – Landkreis Rostock I AfD AfD (36.9%)
14 Rostock – Landkreis Rostock II AfD AfD (26.8%)
15 Vorpommern-Rügen – Vorpommern-Greifswald I AfD AfD (37.3%)
16 Mecklenburgische Seenplatte I – Vorpommern-Greifswald II AfD AfD (45.2%)
17 Mecklenburgische Seenplatte II – Landkreis Rostock III AfD AfD (41.1%)
18 Hamburg-Mitte Greens SPD (27.4%) changed
19 Hamburg-Altona Greens Greens (27.5%)
20 Hamburg-Eimsbüttel Greens Greens (27.8%)
21 Hamburg-Nord Greens CDU/CSU (28.1%) changed
22 Hamburg-Wandsbek SPD SPD (32.3%)
23 Hamburg-Bergedorf – Harburg SPD SPD (32.2%)
24 Aurich – Emden SPD SPD (41.2%)
25 Unterems CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (40.5%)
26 Friesland – Wilhelmshaven – Wittmund SPD SPD (35.4%)
27 Oldenburg – Ammerland SPD SPD (34.4%)
28 Delmenhorst – Wesermarsch – Oldenburg-Land AfD CDU/CSU (29.3%) changed
29 Cuxhaven – Stade II AfD CDU/CSU (32.7%) changed
30 Stade I – Rotenburg II CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (36.3%)
31 Mittelems CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (43.9%)
32 Cloppenburg – Vechta CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (45.8%)
33 Diepholz – Nienburg I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (35.4%)
34 Osterholz – Verden CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (35.9%)
35 Rotenburg I – Heidekreis SPD SPD (42.1%)
36 Harburg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (33.2%)
37 Lüchow-Dannenberg – Lüneburg SPD SPD (27.8%)
38 Osnabrück-Land CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (36.6%)
39 Stadt Osnabrück SPD CDU/CSU (29.7%) changed
40 Nienburg II – Schaumburg AfD SPD (31.7%) changed
41 Stadt Hannover I SPD SPD (34.1%)
42 Stadt Hannover II SPD SPD (36.2%)
43 Hannover-Land I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (34.8%)
44 Celle – Uelzen AfD CDU/CSU (35.2%) changed
45 Gifhorn – Peine AfD SPD (33.9%) changed
46 Hameln-Pyrmont – Holzminden AfD SPD (33.0%) changed
47 Hannover-Land II SPD SPD (31.8%)
48 Hildesheim SPD SPD (30.7%)
49 Salzgitter – Wolfenbüttel AfD SPD (30.6%) changed
50 Braunschweig SPD SPD (33.4%)
51 Helmstedt – Wolfsburg AfD CDU/CSU (30.9%) changed
52 Goslar – Northeim – Göttingen II AfD SPD (30.4%) changed
53 Göttingen I SPD CDU/CSU (29.1%) changed
54 Bremen I Greens SPD (25.2%) changed
55 Bremen II – Bremerhaven AfD SPD (30.3%) changed
56 Prignitz – Ostprignitz-Ruppin – Havelland I AfD AfD (38.9%)
57 Uckermark – Barnim I AfD AfD (38.3%)
58 Oberhavel – Havelland II AfD AfD (30.8%)
59 Märkisch-Oderland – Barnim II AfD AfD (36.1%)
60 Brandenburg an der Havel – Potsdam-Mittelmark I – Havelland III – Teltow-Fläming I AfD AfD (33.6%)
61 Potsdam – Potsdam-Mittelmark II – Teltow-Fläming II AfD SPD (21.8%) changed
62 Dahme-Spreewald – Teltow-Fläming III AfD AfD (33.6%)
63 Frankfurt (Oder) – Oder-Spree AfD AfD (38.2%)
64 Cottbus – Spree-Neiße AfD AfD (42.0%)
65 Elbe-Elster – Oberspreewald-Lausitz AfD AfD (43.0%)
66 Altmark – Jerichower Land AfD AfD (39.2%)
67 Börde – Salzlandkreis AfD AfD (43.2%)
68 Harz AfD AfD (39.0%)
69 Magdeburg AfD AfD (32.2%)
70 Anhalt – Dessau – Wittenberg AfD AfD (38.6%)
71 Halle AfD AfD (30.6%)
72 Burgenland – Saalekreis AfD AfD (44.4%)
73 Mansfeld AfD AfD (43.8%)
74 Berlin-Mitte Greens Greens (25.3%)
75 Berlin-Pankow Greens Greens (25.8%)
76 Berlin-Reinickendorf AfD CDU/CSU (30.9%) changed
77 Berlin-Spandau – Charlottenburg Nord AfD SPD (27.5%) changed
78 Berlin-Steglitz-Zehlendorf Greens CDU/CSU (30.7%) changed
79 Berlin-Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf Greens CDU/CSU (26.3%) changed
80 Berlin-Tempelhof-Schöneberg Greens Greens (24.7%)
81 Berlin-Neukölln The Left The Left (30.0%)
82 Berlin-Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg – Prenzlauer Berg Ost The Left The Left (34.6%)
83 Berlin-Treptow-Köpenick The Left The Left (41.8%)
84 Berlin-Marzahn-Hellersdorf AfD AfD (29.5%)
85 Berlin-Lichtenberg The Left The Left (34.0%)
86 Aachen I Greens CDU/CSU (32.3%) changed
87 Aachen II CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (40.1%)
88 Heinsberg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (41.5%)
89 Düren CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (39.9%)
90 Rhein-Erft-kreis I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (35.0%)
91 Euskirchen – Rhein-Erft-kreis II CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (38.4%)
92 Köln I Greens SPD (24.9%) changed
93 Köln II Greens Greens (34.2%)
94 Köln III Greens Greens (26.0%)
95 Bonn Greens CDU/CSU (33.3%) changed
96 Rhein-Sieg-kreis I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (35.6%)
97 Rhein-Sieg-Kreis II CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (43.8%)
98 Oberbergischer Kreis AfD CDU/CSU (36.9%) changed
99 Rheinisch-Bergischer Kreis CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (42.2%)
100 Leverkusen – Köln IV SPD SPD (32.7%)
101 Wuppertal I SPD SPD (33.6%)
102 Solingen – Remscheid – Wuppertal II AfD CDU/CSU (32.5%) changed
103 Mettmann I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (36.6%)
104 Mettmann II CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (35.9%)
105 Düsseldorf I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (36.1%)
106 Düsseldorf II Greens CDU/CSU (28.7%) changed
107 Neuss I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (36.3%)
108 Mönchengladbach CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (36.4%)
109 Krefeld I – Neuss II CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (37.8%)
110 Viersen CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (40.0%)
111 Kleve CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (41.2%)
112 Wesel I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (34.8%)
113 Krefeld II – Wesel II SPD CDU/CSU (32.0%) changed
114 Duisburg I SPD SPD (39.0%)
115 Duisburg II AfD SPD (33.3%) changed
116 Oberhausen – Wesel III AfD SPD (31.4%) changed
117 Mülheim – Essen I SPD SPD (32.6%)
118 Essen II AfD SPD (30.3%) changed
119 Essen III CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (35.7%)
120 Recklinghausen I AfD SPD (33.1%) changed
121 Recklinghausen II AfD CDU/CSU (31.6%) changed
122 Gelsenkirchen AfD SPD (31.4%) changed
123 Steinfurt I – Borken I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (41.8%)
124 Bottrop – Recklinghausen III AfD CDU/CSU (31.7%) changed
125 Borken II CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (47.9%)
126 Coesfeld – Steinfurt II CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (45.6%)
127 Steinfurt III CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (37.9%)
128 Münster Greens Greens (31.2%)
129 Warendorf CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (41.7%)
130 Gütersloh I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (41.6%)
131 Bielefeld – Gütersloh II SPD SPD (27.2%)
132 Herford – Minden-Lübbecke II AfD CDU/CSU (30.1%) changed
133 Minden-Lübbecke I AfD CDU/CSU (32.1%) changed
134 Lippe I AfD CDU/CSU (31.3%) changed
135 Höxter – Gütersloh III – Lippe II CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (43.1%)
136 Paderborn CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (45.5%)
137 Hagen – Ennepe-Ruhr-Kreis I AfD CDU/CSU (28.9%) changed
138 Ennepe-Ruhr-Kreis II SPD CDU/CSU (30.9%) changed
139 Bochum I SPD SPD (32.7%)
140 Herne – Bochum II AfD SPD (33.5%) changed
141 Dortmund I SPD SPD (30.6%)
142 Dortmund II SPD SPD (32.4%)
143 Unna I SPD SPD (31.8%)
144 Hamm – Unna II AfD SPD (32.2%) changed
145 Soest AfD CDU/CSU (37.3%) changed
146 Hochsauerlandkreis CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (47.7%)
147 Siegen-Wittgenstein AfD CDU/CSU (34.1%) changed
148 Olpe – Märkischer Kreis I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (42.1%)
149 Märkischer Kreis II AfD CDU/CSU (38.8%) changed
150 Nordsachsen AfD AfD (43.8%)
151 Leipzig I AfD AfD (25.0%)
152 Leipzig II The Left The Left (36.8%)
153 Leipzig-Land AfD AfD (38.2%)
154 Meißen AfD AfD (45.3%)
155 Bautzen I AfD AfD (48.3%)
156 Görlitz AfD AfD (48.9%)
157 Sächsische Schweiz-Osterzgebirge AfD AfD (49.1%)
158 Dresden I AfD AfD (29.4%)
159 Dresden II – Bautzen II AfD AfD (29.9%)
160 Mittelsachsen AfD AfD (45.4%)
161 Chemnitz AfD AfD (32.2%)
162 Chemnitzer Umland – Erzgebirgskreis II AfD AfD (44.2%)
163 Erzgebirgskreis I AfD AfD (46.7%)
164 Zwickau AfD AfD (39.9%)
165 Vogtlandkreis AfD AfD (43.3%)
166 Waldeck AfD CDU/CSU (31.1%) changed
167 Kassel SPD SPD (27.7%)
168 Werra-Meißner – Hersfeld-Rotenburg AfD CDU/CSU (32.3%) changed
169 Schwalm-Eder AfD CDU/CSU (30.1%) changed
170 Marburg SPD SPD (30.3%)
171 Lahn-Dill AfD CDU/CSU (34.3%) changed
172 Gießen AfD CDU/CSU (30.4%) changed
173 Fulda AfD CDU/CSU (43.3%) changed
174 Main-Kinzig – Wetterau II – Schotten AfD CDU/CSU (34.1%) changed
175 Hochtaunus CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (37.8%)
176 Wetterau I CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (33.7%)
177 Rheingau-Taunus – Limburg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (36.8%)
178 Wiesbaden CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (30.7%)
179 Hanau AfD CDU/CSU (32.0%) changed
180 Main-Taunus CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (39.8%)
181 Frankfurt am Main I Greens CDU/CSU (26.0%) changed
182 Frankfurt am Main II Greens CDU/CSU (27.4%) changed
183 Groß-Gerau SPD CDU/CSU (30.3%) changed
184 Offenbach CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (31.2%)
185 Darmstadt Greens CDU/CSU (26.7%) changed
186 Odenwald AfD CDU/CSU (34.0%) changed
187 Bergstraße AfD CDU/CSU (36.3%) changed
188 Eichsfeld – Nordhausen – Kyffhäuserkreis AfD AfD (39.5%)
189 Eisenach – Wartburgkreis – Unstrut-Hainich-Kreis AfD AfD (38.5%)
190 Jena – Sömmerda – Weimarer Land I AfD AfD (32.5%)
191 Gotha – Ilm-Kreis AfD AfD (41.2%)
192 Erfurt – Weimar – Weimarer Land II The Left The Left (36.8%)
193 Gera – Greiz – Altenburger Land AfD AfD (44.8%)
194 Saalfeld-Rudolstadt – Saale-Holzland-Kreis – Saale-Orla-Kreis AfD AfD (44.5%)
195 Suhl – Schmalkalden-Meiningen – Hildburghausen – Sonneberg AfD AfD (42.1%)
196 Neuwied AfD CDU/CSU (35.6%) changed
197 Ahrweiler CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (39.3%)
198 Koblenz CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (35.7%)
199 Mosel/Rhein-Hunsrück CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (38.2%)
200 Kreuznach AfD CDU/CSU (32.3%) changed
201 Bitburg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (40.2%)
202 Trier SPD CDU/CSU (30.8%) changed
203 Montabaur AfD CDU/CSU (35.7%) changed
204 Mainz Greens CDU/CSU (27.3%) changed
205 Worms AfD CDU/CSU (35.3%) changed
206 Ludwigshafen/Frankenthal AfD CDU/CSU (27.1%) changed
207 Neustadt – Speyer AfD CDU/CSU (34.7%) changed
208 Kaiserslautern AfD SPD (28.0%) changed
209 Pirmasens AfD CDU/CSU (33.3%) changed
210 Südpfalz AfD CDU/CSU (38.2%) changed
211 Altötting AfD CDU/CSU (43.9%) changed
212 Erding – Ebersberg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (45.9%)
213 Freising CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (43.1%)
214 Fürstenfeldbruck CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (42.6%)
215 Ingolstadt CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (47.1%)
216 München-Nord Greens CDU/CSU (32.4%) changed
217 München-Ost Greens CDU/CSU (36.3%) changed
218 München-Süd Greens CDU/CSU (30.4%) changed
219 München-West/Mitte Greens CDU/CSU (34.7%) changed
220 München-Land CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (43.1%)
221 Rosenheim CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (40.9%)
222 Bad Tölz-Wolfratshausen – Miesbach CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (46.4%)
223 Starnberg – Landsberg am Lech CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (42.9%)
224 Traunstein CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (46.9%)
225 Weilheim CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (45.8%)
226 Deggendorf AfD CDU/CSU (43.3%) changed
227 Landshut AfD CDU/CSU (34.2%) changed
228 Passau AfD CDU/CSU (40.8%) changed
229 Rottal-Inn AfD CDU/CSU (34.9%) changed
230 Straubing AfD CDU/CSU (46.3%) changed
231 Amberg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (44.5%)
232 Regensburg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (38.3%)
233 Schwandorf AfD CDU/CSU (42.2%) changed
234 Weiden AfD CDU/CSU (43.5%) changed
235 Bamberg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (39.4%)
236 Bayreuth CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (44.5%)
237 Coburg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (41.9%)
238 Hof AfD CDU/CSU (40.4%) changed
239 Kulmbach CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (49.3%)
240 Ansbach CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (41.8%)
241 Erlangen CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (35.9%)
242 Fürth CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (37.4%)
243 Nürnberg-Nord Greens CDU/CSU (30.2%) changed
244 Nürnberg-Süd AfD CDU/CSU (36.0%) changed
245 Roth CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (42.9%)
246 Aschaffenburg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (43.8%)
247 Bad Kissingen CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (50.5%)
248 Main-Spessart CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (45.5%)
249 Schweinfurt CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (43.4%)
250 Würzburg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (39.1%)
251 Augsburg-Stadt Greens CDU/CSU (31.1%) changed
252 Augsburg-Land CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (44.5%)
253 Donau-Ries CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (45.1%)
254 Neu-Ulm AfD CDU/CSU (42.5%) changed
255 Memmingen – Unterallgäu CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (43.8%)
256 Oberallgäu CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (36.8%)
257 Ostallgäu CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (45.5%)
258 Stuttgart I Greens Greens (28.3%)
259 Stuttgart II Greens CDU/CSU (30.4%) changed
260 Böblingen CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (37.3%)
261 Esslingen CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (37.0%)
262 Nürtingen CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (37.7%)
263 Göppingen AfD CDU/CSU (37.1%) changed
264 Waiblingen CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (37.7%)
265 Ludwigsburg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (36.5%)
266 Neckar-Zaber CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (39.3%)
267 Heilbronn AfD CDU/CSU (35.0%) changed
268 Schwäbisch Hall – Hohenlohe AfD CDU/CSU (36.4%) changed
269 Backnang – Schwäbisch Gmünd AfD CDU/CSU (36.6%) changed
270 Aalen – Heidenheim AfD CDU/CSU (41.4%) changed
271 Karlsruhe-Stadt Greens Greens (30.7%)
272 Karlsruhe-Land CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (39.2%)
273 Rastatt AfD CDU/CSU (38.9%) changed
274 Heidelberg Greens CDU/CSU (29.2%) changed
275 Mannheim AfD CDU/CSU (24.7%) changed
276 Odenwald – Tauber AfD CDU/CSU (42.8%) changed
277 Rhein-Neckar AfD CDU/CSU (34.4%) changed
278 Bruchsal – Schwetzingen AfD CDU/CSU (36.1%) changed
279 Pforzheim AfD CDU/CSU (37.1%) changed
280 Calw AfD CDU/CSU (39.0%) changed
281 Freiburg Greens Greens (32.5%)
282 Lörrach – Müllheim AfD CDU/CSU (33.2%) changed
283 Emmendingen – Lahr CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (37.0%)
284 Offenburg AfD CDU/CSU (38.2%) changed
285 Rottweil – Tuttlingen AfD CDU/CSU (38.9%) changed
286 Schwarzwald-Baar AfD CDU/CSU (42.3%) changed
287 Konstanz CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (37.7%)
288 Waldshut CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (37.7%)
289 Reutlingen CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (38.5%)
290 Tübingen Greens CDU/CSU (31.7%) changed
291 Ulm CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (38.8%)
292 Biberach AfD CDU/CSU (40.9%) changed
293 Bodensee CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (40.0%)
294 Ravensburg CDU/CSU CDU/CSU (38.7%)
295 Zollernalb – Sigmaringen AfD CDU/CSU (37.1%) changed
296 Saarbrücken AfD SPD (32.4%) changed
297 Saarlouis AfD CDU/CSU (31.8%) changed
298 St. Wendel AfD CDU/CSU (33.9%) changed
299 Homburg AfD SPD (30.5%) changed

Original source of the vector file:
Federal Returning Officer
Datenlizenz Deutschland – Namensnennung – Version 2.0 (dl-de/by-2-0). Source notice: © Die Bundeswahlleiterin, Statistisches Bundesamt, Wiesbaden 2024, Wahlkreiskarte für die Wahl zum 21. Deutschen Bundestag; Grundlage der Geoinformationen © Geobasis-DE / BKG 2024. The file has been modified.